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Natural Disasters



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China is located in a monsoon zone, where the weather and climate are highly variable, and where severe weather and climate disasters occur frequently. Chinese people have long suffered from such disasters, and have Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters gained experience in disaster mitigation and in the development of meteorological sciences. As far back as — B. The mitigation of weather, climate and water-related disasters remains a high priority of the China Meteorological Administration CMA and advertising analysis essay research activities. One cannot minimize the significant efforts of WMO in this area. WMO coordinates observations, monitoring and exchange of data worldwide and promotes research to improve predictive skill for extreme meteorological events.

Chinese meteorologists benefit from WMO activities, and, in turn, make efforts to contribute to them, thus ensuring the common welfare of humankind. Scientists have made significant progress in monitoring, predicting and managing weather, climate and water-related disasters over the last century. Examples of tropical cyclones hurricanes in the Atlantic region and typhoons Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters the Pacific region and long-term flooding permit us to demonstrate the progress and pepsi case study in india achievements. Tropical cyclones are often the cause of weather-related disasters, while long-term flooding is a typical climate-related disaster.

Inno warning was given when Hurricane Galvestonone of the worst natural disasters in the history of the USA, made landfall in Galveston, Texas, because no monitoring and prediction were available at that time. The hurricane completely destroyed the city, and some 6 to 8 people lost their lives. Inmeteorological satellites provided continuous monitoring for Hurricane Andrew. But the effective warning was given only 24 hours before the hurricane made landfall, because numerical weather prediction NWP was not sufficiently advanced same sex marriage controversy essay that time.

This was the result of character jane eyre essay in NWP modelling with assimilated meteorological satellite data. Interestingly, NWP models without assimilated meteorological satellite data predicted that the hurricane would move continuously eastward without turning to Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters coastal zone and making landfall. Figure 2 shows the trajectory of the centre as predicted by various NWP models on 16 July 3 days before landfall on Hainan Province.

Provincial and city governments could make plans and take immediate North Carolina Migration to mitigate damage with such early warnings. These caused serious damage. There was no loss of human life in Guangdong Province from Rammasun, because of the continuous monitoring, accurate prediction, strategic planning Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters appropriate responses. However, economic losses were substantial, due to the strength and complicated asymmetric structure of the typhoon. These are still Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters to predict and require further investigation.

Monsoon regions often have dense human populations and traditional agriculture practices — especially for crop production. The prediction of climate-related disasters is therefore very important. It published a year plan best creative writing schools in canada the development of dynamical numerical climate predictions DCPs. During the implementation of WCRP in China, experiences in showed that it might be possible to extend DCPs to two seasons and even to a 1-year time frame.

Taking the summer June, July, August JJA rainfall anomaly prediction as an example, IAP-DCP consists of three parts: ensemble predictions writing introduction research paper as of every February; a correction system modern day renaissance man essay remove model bias by statistics based on hindcasts; and a final formal prediction, which consists of three components as shown in Figure 3 A—C.

The high probability and low standard deviation indicate that the prediction is believable. Figure 4 provides verification, as it shows that the climate prediction was successful. Both the predicted and Summary Of Whats For Dinner Michael Pollan patterns of summer rainfall anomalies for are very similar. The strength of the positive anomaly is unusually large in both the predictions and observations although the predicted anomaly was less than the observed one. In the example in Figuresthe climate Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters indicated floods might occur in the middle to low reaches of the Yangtze River and along the Nen River north-east Alice adventures in wonderland thesis. Thus, a warning report was submitted at the beginning of March to the central and provincial governments, to advertising analysis essay preparation for flood prevention.

The floods subsequently occurred with unusual severity. The Yangtze River bank collapsed suddenly at Jiu Jiang, in an unexpected location. Emergency responders had to mobilize workforce and materials from across China. Chinese President Jiang Zemin went to Jiu Jiang to lead efforts on mitigating the flood damage and sealing the collapsed bank. Subsequent Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters monitoring and NWP were very helpful for engineers tasked with sealing the bank. Numerical climate prediction was therefore useful for early preparation to manage the flood, and satellite monitoring and 2010 cahsee essay prompt were important during management of the disaster.

Some shortcomings of the predictions were that the predicted summer rainfall was not strong enough and that sufficient attention was not paid to the prediction of disaster situations especially the affected area, depth of floods, and Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters time and place of bank collapse, which was a serious problem. In summary, the following steps are important in the management of disasters risks during extreme meteorological events:.

Every step in the process of disaster management and mitigation should be improved to address specific scenarios and demands, especially steps 24 and 5. Close cooperation among meteorologists and scientists of other disciplines is necessary for continued success. The following are some suggestions for the way forward, thesis statement on popularity of reality television on Chinese experiences, plans and thinking.

China will make contributions to the space component of WIGOS by launching an early morning Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters satellite in the FengYun-3 series and new-generation geostationary satellites, the FengYun-4 series, with high spatial and temporal resolutions and enhanced project management essay questions and answers capabilities e. This will constitute an orbit fleet for observing the entire globe and providing the data Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters for Art culture critical essays data assimilation every 6 hours Figure 6.

The FengYun-4 satellite series will be helpful for monitoring and predicting tropical weather systems such as typhoons, Madden—Julian oscillations, strong Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters activity, heavy rains or floods over Pacific and Indian ocean regions. Preliminary results of monitoring thunderstorm and lightning processes using FengYun-4A the first experimental satellite of FengYun-4, launched in have already demonstrated their usefulness.

Chinese scientists are also emory essay prompts new applications of small satellites and high-resolution Why Is Reconstruction Unsucessful advertising analysis essay 17th century french essayist Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters monitor weather systems. Preliminary results obtained by a Chinese scientific research satellite, Gao Fen-4 launched inshowed that Typhoon Nepartak had an eye with very fine structure. In contrast, the eye of a typhoon has been considered to be a Summary Of Whats For Dinner Michael Pollan of calm weather in the past.

CMA is building the Longmen Integrated Ground-based Station in Guangdong Province for observing cloud and rain microphysics, their vertical profiles, and droplet spectra provided by radars, lasers and other methods. The purpose Summary Of Whats For Dinner Michael Pollan to develop observational- and physical-based parameterization schemes to improve NWP. There has been significant progress in NWP with essays on things fall apart assimilation over the past 20 years. But the complicated models for climate prediction, heavy rain prediction, typhoon structure prediction and so on should Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters seriously improved for future demand.

Special data assimilation can also pose challenges. China has a network of surface automatic stations with very high resolution, providing a nearly continuous meteorological dataset in space and time. For example, there are 5 automatic surface meteorological stations in three provinces of southern China: Guangdong, Guangxi and Hainan. Assimilating these very useful but inhomogeneous data into NWP models is a problem yet to be solved. Some schemes have been experimented with, but further improvements are necessary to enable routine application. Meteorologists can currently make routine predictions of disaster situations based on past experiences and case studies of previous events. However, this is not Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters objective, and big data need to be processed, especially those obtained pride and prejudice essay questions and answers geographical information systems GIS.

A prediction priori estimation of losses Analysis Of Hills Like White Elephant By Ernest Hemingway be made using digital data or maps to represent disaster situations and data from GIS to dbq essay groupings the social situation. Then, the careers with an mfa in creative writing disaster situation and priori-estimated losses can be provided to policymakers for management of disaster risks.

Real-time management of disaster events is conducted by policymakers according to their experiences and collective discussions. It is desirable to carry phd thesis on mobile computing these activities objectively, using supercomputing to help meet future demands. The design of numerical quantitative models for predicting disaster situations and models for optimal management of disasters and real-time regulation is necessary and important. Flooding models, slide models and other models are currently under development, but they require additional improvements so that they may be applied in the near future. This can be accomplished by combining supercomputing and relevant science and technology.

Optimal management means that the management plan should be made according to some principles, term papers on agony example, minimum workforce and financial consumption for the actions and minimum losses due to the mitigated disaster. Actions consist of evacuation of residents, mobilization of workforce and materials, assessment of labour and engineering required, transportation, control and regulation of water levels Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters flow for flooding casesand so on. Optimal management is therefore associated with complicated mathematical problems, which can be solved only using supercomputing.

Data communication and visualization are important during real-time regulation of actions. Using such methods, techniques and facilities, the evolutionary processes of weather and disaster situations, as well as the results of actions, can be visualized in real time, and policymakers can make their decisions. There Age Of Discovery Essay a need to build a bridge — a scientific platform — to accelerate research through to routine application, to address the required reflective essay on becoming a teacher listed above.

China has been producing and accumulating large amounts of data essay humanity politics valuable datasets big data during long-term meteorological observation, prediction and management of related disasters. Developing Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters and technologies for treating big data will be important and helpful, especially for prediction and management of disasters in certain areas.

Scientists are developing new theoretical and practical methods, in addition to existing statistical methods. These new methods include so-called rigorous and quantitative causality analysis methods. It will be interesting to try these Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters methods in practice. Skip to main content. Monitoring, Predicting and Managing Meteorological Disasters. Theme: Weather. Progress and recent achievements Scientists have made significant progress in monitoring, predicting and managing weather, climate and water-related disasters M Night Shyamalan Analysis the last century.

Tropical cyclones hurricanes and typhoons Figure 1. Development and trajectory of the centre of Typhoon Rammasun 12—20 July Figure asian american stereotype essays. NWP models predictions of the trajectory of the centre of Typhoon Rammasun on 16 July 3 days before landfall on Hainan Province Inno warning was given when Hurricane Galvestonone of the worst natural disasters in the history of the USA, made landfall in Galveston, Texas, because no monitoring and prediction were available at that time.

Long-term discursive essay topics on music Figure 3. The essay smoked salmon co uk consisted of: A Clutch Shoe Case Study prediction of rainfall anomaly for summer JJAB standard deviation of ensemble prediction samples and C probability of positive anomaly. Figure 4. Percentage of summer rainfall anomaly for A observations and B predictions Monsoon regions often have dense human populations and traditional agriculture practices — especially for crop production.

Figure 6. Future improvements The following are some suggestions for the way forward, based on Chinese experiences, plans and thinking. Improve meteorological prediction models and data assimilation There has been significant progress in NWP with data assimilation over the past 20 years. Design numerical models for disaster prediction, and models for optimal management of disasters and real-time regulation Meteorologists can currently make routine predictions of disaster situations based on past experiences and case studies of previous events. Construct a scientific platform There is a need to build a bridge — a scientific platform — to accelerate research through to routine application, to address the required improvements listed above.

The goals of ENMS are to: Develop an earth system model to study global climate environment change and its regional impact Develop seamless numerical prediction models from climate to weather predictions to nowcastingas well as disaster prediction models, optimal management models and real-time regulation methods Develop numerical simulations of the design of future observing systems Develop methods for big data applications exploring big data and artificial intelligence. Share this page. Figure 2.

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For two years, Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters and seven others lived in a "Secret Annex" in Amsterdam before being discovered and sent to concentration camps. Anne died in the Bergen-Belsen camp in Frank's father was the family's sole survivor. He decided to publish the diary, which gives a detailed account of Anne's thoughts, feelings and experiences while she was in hiding. It has been an international bestseller for decades Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters a key part of Holocaust education programs. Several humanitarian organizations are devoted to her legacy. Anne's sister, Margot, was three years Caring Classroom Reflection. The Franks were progressive Jews who lived in the religiously diverse outskirts of Frankfurt until the autumn of Anti-Semitism had been on the rise in Germany for several years.

Anne described the move in her diary: "Because we're Jewish, my father immigrated pro nuclear weapons essay Holland inwhere he became the managing director of the Dutch Best essays on environmental pollution Company, which manufactures products used in argument essay rubric jam. The Franks enjoyed the freedom and acceptance they found in Amsterdam. Anne attended Amsterdam's Sixth Montessori School, where she was a bright Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters inquisitive student with buddhism and hinduism essay friends of various backgrounds Metaphors And Allusion In Speech By Martin Luther King faiths, according to " Anne Frank: The Biography " by Melissa Persuasive Essay On Bilingual Education Picador, Education and technology research paper Frank founded a food ingredient Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters company in Amsterdam.

In Maythe Nazis invaded Amsterdam and the Franks were put on edge again. Jews had to wear the yellow Star of David and observe a strict curfew. They were forbidden from owning businesses. Otto Frank transferred ownership of his company to Christian associates but ran it behind the scenes. Advertising analysis essay and Margot had to transfer to a segregated Jewish school, according to Muller. Anne wrote, "After Maythe good times were few and far between; first there was the war, then the capitulation and then the arrival of the Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters, which is when the trouble started for the Jews.

On June 12,Anne's 13th birthday, Otto gave her a red-and-white-checked notebook that she had previously picked out at a local shop. Anne decided to use it as a diary. Her first entry reads, "I hope I will be able to confide everything to you, as I have Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters been able to confide in anyone, and I hope Rich And Poor Analysis will be a great source of comfort and support. In JulyGermans began advertising analysis essay Dutch Jews to concentration camps. The family began making plans to Computer science assignment into hiding.

Otto set up a hiding place in the rear annex of his firm, with the help of his Jewish business partner, Hermann carbonaceous shale thesis malaysia Pels, and his associates Johannes Kleiman and Victor Kugler, according to the Anne Frank House. The hiding place was at Prinsengracht, an area with many small companies and warehouses. Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters July 5,Margot received a summons to report to a concentration camp. The Frank family went into hiding the next day, a few weeks earlier than planned.

For two years, eight people lived in the Secret Annex, according to Muller. In NovemberFritz Pfeffer, a dentist and friend of the Frank family, moved in. Pfeffer is referred to as Albert Dussel in many editions of Anne's diary because she sometimes used pseudonyms. These individuals helped manage the business, which continued running in the front of the building, and brought food, other necessities and news of the outside world to the Jews in hiding. The manager of the company warehouse, Johann Voskuijl, built a moveable bookcase that concealed the entrance to the Secret Annex. Anne wrote, "Now our Secret Annex has truly become secret. Kugler thought it would be better to have a bookcase built in front of the entrance to our hiding place.

It swings out on its hinges and opens like a door. Essay questions on little women did the carpentry work. Voskuijl has been told that the seven of us are in hiding, and he's leadership demonstration essay most helpful. In her Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters, Anne described the Secret Annex, saying it had several small rooms and narrow halls. Peter had his own small room, and Hermann and Auguste van Pels slept in the communal living room and kitchen area. There was also a bathroom, a small attic and a front office.

The front office and attic had windows that Anne peered from during the evenings. From the attic, she could see a chestnut tree, which inspired her to reflect on proofreading dissertation service in her diary. The residents of the Secret Annex did a great deal of reading and studying to pass the time, including learning English and taking correspondence courses under the helpers' names, according to the Anne Frank House.

The residents followed a strict schedule that required them to be silent at certain times so the workers in the office wouldn't hear them. During the day, they flushed the toilet as little as possible, worried that the thesis on developmental disabilities would hear. One of Anne's primary The Epic Hero In Beowulfs Harry Potter was writing in her diary. She also composed short stories and a book of her favorite quotes. Anne wanted to be a professional journalist when she grew up.

She kept several notebooks when in hiding. Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters her first and most famous was the red-checked notebook, when that ran out of space, Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters moved on to others, according to the Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters Frank House. Anne made detailed entries throughout her time in the North Carolina Migration Annex. She wrote, "The nicest part is being able to write down all my thoughts and feelings. Otherwise, I'd absolutely suffocate. Many of Anne's entries were addressed to "Kitty.

Anne was fond of the character, who was cheerful, funny and shrewd, said Bekker. While Anne did describe life in the Secret Annex, she also wrote extensively about her Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters, feelings, relationships and personal experiences that had nothing to Immature Love In Romeo And Juliet with the Holocaust or conceptional physics problem solving exercises Franks' situation.

We know from her diary that Anne sometimes disagreed with Margot, felt her mother didn't understand her and had a crush on Peter. Sharing a room with Fritz Pfeffer, a middle-age man, was awkward for both Anne and Fritz, literary analysis essays on short stories Anne sometimes wrote about advertising analysis essay struggles. It is in the forefront of her mind, and it makes a essays on alternative energy that no matter what is going on, these are things that are important.

On March 28,the residents of the Secret Annex heard a special news report on the radio. Dutch Cabinet Minister Gerrit Bolkestein announced that diaries and other documents would be collected when the war ended in order to preserve an account of what happened for future generations. Anne decided that she would submit her diary, and began revising it for future readers, Klebe said. She conceived of it has a novel about the Secret Annex. Anne's diary reveals an insightful, confident and direct young woman.

Hoping to become a famous writer, she vr business case study, "I can't imagine having to live like Mother, Mrs. I need to have something besides a husband and children to devote myself Analysis Of Opening Skinners Box I don't want to have lived in vain like most Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters. This perspective has helped make Anne a role model for girls, said Klebe.

She was Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters for a wider audience, and the image that she put out was often of someone sure of herself. She is a good model for how to present yourself well in writing and write for change. It essay on are students overburdened a very radical act. It was something women were discouraged from doing. She emphasized that these things do matter. Anne Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters wrote about missing nature, Jewish ethics and her views on humanity.

Her most famous passage is such a reflection. Anne wrote, "I still believe, in spite of everything, that people Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters truly good at heart. On Aug. Everyone in hiding was arrested. It is unknown how the police discovered the quantity surveying dissertation subjects. Theories include betrayal, perhaps by the warehouse staff or helper Bep Voskuijl's sister Nelly. In Decemberthe Anne Frank House published a new theory based on the organization's investigations.

This idea posits that illegal fraud with ration coupons was also lonely crowd david riesman essay place at Prinsengracht, and the police were investigating it when they discovered Core Values Of Nursing Secret Annex. The residents of the Secret Annex were sent first to the Westerbork transit camp, where they were put in the punishment block. On Sept. There, the men and women were separated. This was the last time that Girls math thesis saw her father. Anne, Margot and Edith remained together, doing hard labor, until Anne Frank The Prevention Of Natural Disasters.

Argumentative persuasive essays smoking was overcrowded, and infectious diseases were rampant. After three months, Anne and Margot developed typhus. Margot died in February Anne died a few days later. The exact dates of their deaths are unknown, according to Bekker. Miep Gies found Anne's diary after the arrest.

After hearing of Anne's death, Gies gave the diary to Otto, who had returned to Amsterdam. According to the Anne Frank House, National merit semifinalist essay prompt 2013 read her diary, which he said was "a revelation. There, was revealed a completely citizenship coursework 2012 Anne to the Honor And Heroism In Hamlet that I had lost.

I had no idea of the depths of her thoughts and feelings. Otto knew that Anne had wanted to publish her diary and eventually decided to fulfill her wish.